With 21.95% of the votes cast and therefore 7.7 million voters, Jean-Luc Melenchon failed at the gates of second round, for only 420,882 votes. The question that arises for whom his voters will vote on April 24, Emmanuel Macron Where Marine Le Pen ? The Mélenchon electorate seems very divided and even if Jean-Luc Mélenchon and his voters will be the arbiters of this presidential election.
Indeed, this left-wing electorate far ahead of those of Anne Hidalgo (PS), Fabien Roussel (PC) and Yannick Jadot (EELV) for its consistency is enticing to say the least. Classified as the third bloc, the Mélenchon electorate is made up of a young and popular vote, of aspiration for social justice and ecology embodied in particular by a majority of Muslims at (69%) who put in the ballot box the bulletin of the tribune arrived third. We can therefore imagine Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen, in the field, will have to seriously convince this community to grab some benefactors of the Insoumis.
It is therefore understandable to appreciate all the energy that the two antagonists will have to put in to convince Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s Insoumis, with their substantial baggage and very heavy with votes, in order to tip the scales in favor of the one or the other. Because the real reservoir of voices is there and indeed there it is that of Mélenchon. The seduction operation will therefore be verified by the campaign promises of the outgoing president or the candidate of the far right. And each to go there from his soul.
The National Rally asks the rebels“Don’t save Emmanuel Macron’s head “, Marine Le Pen even drives the point home by calling on these voters to join her and by praising her plans to “ social justice” , of ” protection »and emphasizing its emergency measures in favor of purchasing power undermined by inflation.
For Emmanuel Macron, the social message to the address of the left is clear, a step aside on his project to raise the retirement age to 65, ensuring that he is ready to ” to move on this file with a starting age of 64.
That said, opinion polls lead us to believe that the vote of voters from Mélenchon to Marine Le Pen is not insignificant. According to these surveys, around 39% of Mélenchon voters in the first round would be ready to vote for the outgoing president in the second. However, 41% would prefer to vote blank or null, or abstain. They would still be 20% to slip a Le Pen ballot into the ballot box.
Yet on the evening of the results of the presidential election Jean-Luc Mélenchon had declared “We must not give a single voice to Mrs. Le Pen!” » but, he had not said a word about any voting instructions for the outgoing president. Also, if he did not call to vote for Emmanuel Macron, at the very least, he nevertheless called to block the far-right candidate. Jean Luc Mélenchon said of the two candidates in the second round: “One and the other are not equivalent. Marine Le Pen adds to the project of social abuse that she shares with Emmanuel Macron a dangerous ferment of ethnic and religious exclusion. A people can be destroyed by this type of division”.
As for the result of the consultation, it will not be an instruction: Mélenchon “will indicate what are the appreciations in their diversities. Everyone will conclude and vote in conscience.. Already, the polls show a possible scattering of votes from the left, between Macron, Le Pen, and abstention.
Today Wednesday, LFI launched an online consultation to the 310,000 people who supported his candidacy so that they can make a choice. Three options are proposed, always the same: Abstention, blank or null vote, vote for Macron. We can therefore see La Marine, although obsessive, does not seem to be a concern for the party of Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
The challenge for the Insoumis after this first round, which is still quite satisfactory, is elsewhere. While putting its failure on the account of the dispersion of the left, the party of Mélenchon rather places its hopes in the legislative elections of next June.