In detail, the survey notes that Muslims who had overwhelmingly voted for Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the first round (69%) clearly voted for Emmanuel Macron on Sunday, up to 85%.
” The Catholic vote is marked by a wide diversity, the Muslim vote is very homogeneous “, underlines the director of the opinion department of Ifop, Jérôme Fourquet, who specified that the score of Emmanuel Macron is down compared to 2017 (92%) while at the same time, the score of the RN progresses, from 8 % five years ago to 15%.
The director of Ifop’s opinion department, Jérôme Fourquet, sees it as a “ neighborhood effect “. According to him, it is less a vote for the far right than a vote ” against Macron, candidate of the rich“.
85% of Catholics voted EM against 62% for MLP
Thus coming to the votes of practicing Catholics or not, Protestants and those without religion. According to the same survey, the vote of Catholics clearly focused on Emmanuel Macron in the second round of the presidential election with 55% (62% in 2017, i.e. – 7 points) against 45% for Marine Le Pen (38% in 2017, i.e. – 7 dots).
” For a long time, practicing Catholics represented the most refractory category to vote for the FN then the RN (…) This specificity had gradually withered and is now disappearing. “, analyzes Jérôme Fourquet.
In its study, Ifop specifies that the more you practice, the more you vote Emmanuel Macron against Marine Le Pen. Thus, non-practicing Catholics voted 45% for the far-right candidate against 42% for practicing Catholics (equivalent to the national average) and 39% for regular practicing Catholics (3 points below the average).
Comparing these results with those of the same study carried out in 2017, a clear increase in the Catholic vote was raised for Maine Le Pen, roughly equivalent to that of the entire electorate. Indeed, five years ago, and according to the same Ifop poll, the French had voted 34.3% (its final score was 33.9%) and Catholics 38%, 39% for non-voters. -practitioners and 29% for regular practitioners.
Thus, and according to the same survey, the dynamic remains strong among regular practitioners who voted for Le Pen up to 39% in 2022 (61% for Macron), which confirms the progress of the far-right candidate within wealthy conservative electorate, says Jérôme Fouquet.
On the Protestant side, 65% voted for Emmanuel Macron in the second round (67% in 2017), against 35% for Marine Le Pen (33% in 2017), while those without religions voted 59% for the LREM candidate (70% in 2017), against 41% for the far-right candidate (30% in 2017).